About
Probable helps you understand the news without reading the same story ten times.
It groups repeated reports into a short, cited brief. Follow the original sources, paste a headline to find related coverage, and explore real-world base rates—including earthquake frequency, U.S. road fatalities and business survival.
Each reference shows its source, population and time period. When the available data doesn’t fit a headline, Probable explains what’s missing.
The latest brief and base-rate catalog are free. Founding Pro adds archive access and member tools. REST and MCP interfaces let agents use Probable too.